Forex Fundamental Analysis: The EUR/USD stopped its recovery

The EUR/USD stopped its recovery

15 January 2015, EUR/USD

Euro

The EUR/USD stopped its recovery

The pair euro/dollar was under the selling pressure and fell to the current local minimum, losing about a little more than 50 points. Yesterday the pair tested the level of 1.1820-1.1840. The December France and Italy consumer price index (CPI) will be published soon, forecasts point out to the possible downward revision that will indicate the deflation emergence in the second and third EU economies.

The situation within the euro/dollar remains tense and negative for the euro. None of the recovery attempts have not been developed in the upward correction as the euro continues to be sold off on the growth. Sellers became more active near the level of 1.1880-1.1900 from which the pair fell to the support around 1.1740-1.1760. After the level testing it was rebounded to the 18th figure.

The support levels are 1.1740-1.1760, and the resistance levels are 1.1820-1.1840.

MACD is in a negative territory.

Trading recommendations

Pressure on the pair is still preserved as well as the risk to test the support 1.1740-1.1760, in this case we should expect a decline towards 1.1670-1.1690. A rise above 1.1880-1.1900 can open the way to 1.2020-1.2040.

Pound

The EUR/USD stopped its recovery

The pound came under pressure after the UK inflation reports pointed out to the continued price pressure decline. However, the pound managed to close the day against the dollar on the opening prices, supported by the head of the BoE statements. We expect the Bank of England representatives and its head M.Karni speeches in the UK Parliament at the hearings about financial stability.

The pound/dollar grew. Earlier being under pressure, the pair fell to the support near 1.5040-1.5060 and after the level testing the pair rebounded to the resistance near 1.5160-1.5180. Then the pair tried to break through the resistance level of 1.5220-1.5240.

The support levels: 1.5140-1.5160 and the resistance levels: 1.5220-1.5240.

The MACD indicator is in a neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

A rebound from the 1.5220-1.5240 after the negative inflation report gives the bulls a hope for an upward correction development. The 52 th figure confirmed break will open the way the 53rd figure. The loss of 51st figure will lead to the minimum testing.

Yen

The EUR/USD stopped its recovery

Yesterday the dollar/yen fell still it recovered at the end of the day. The instrument decline caused unwillingness to take risks that was triggered by the fall in stock markets as well as the “Treasuries” profitability decrease. Today Nikkei fell by 1.71%, and a further oil prices decline makes investors return to the safe haven Japanese yen. The US dollar continued to fall against the Japanese yen. The bulls’ inability to overcome the resistance near 120.00-120.20 led to the bulls profit-taking, as a result the pair declined to the support around 116.05-116.25.

The support levels: 116.05-116.25, and the resistance levels: 117.15-117.35.

The MACD indicator is in a negative territory.

Trading recommendations

The next bears’ target can be the support near 115.05-115.25 and its confident breakthrough will significantly worsen the dollar prospects. However, while it is trading above this level, the chances of its regrowth will be saved. It needs to rise and consolidate above 120.20-120.40.

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